Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3179.639756 3431.222908 3685.861790 3962.564288 4254.428723 4552.808841 4880.571324
2024-12-22 2735.647509 3107.423287 3497.657251 3936.549302 4415.146504 4919.962547 5491.418161
2024-12-29 2517.036614 2968.327315 3454.646727 4015.095080 4640.518022 5314.398765 6092.747435
2025-01-05 2319.244105 2824.881090 3382.141472 4037.631952 4783.232113 5600.689254 6560.318561
2025-01-12 2146.877863 2692.514094 3306.104743 4041.061633 4891.137277 5837.240312 6963.401331
2025-01-19 1932.909946 2495.978146 3141.950281 3929.541442 4855.328967 5900.602187 7161.262209
2025-01-26 1875.128748 2478.134073 3180.907378 4049.682391 5083.702930 6264.064223 7701.897200
2025-02-02 1802.636724 2436.543814 3186.650137 4126.274217 5257.898506 6563.073942 8167.796301
2025-02-09 1698.421879 2349.411998 3131.796515 4125.051222 5335.517356 6746.044271 8496.319953
2025-02-16 1590.586612 2251.632334 3058.441985 4096.251252 5375.688458 6881.465552 8766.509122
2025-02-23 1526.492400 2205.695567 3046.033731 4139.479068 5501.081246 7117.347628 9156.094346
2025-03-02 1447.241849 2135.931946 3000.001051 4137.564161 5568.511565 7281.759990 9459.237872
2025-03-09 1401.681613 2109.512486 3009.064621 4206.030271 5725.536058 7558.920125 9904.882021
2025-03-16 1318.247622 2028.748516 2944.957038 4178.816175 5761.269136 7687.072744 10169.779028
2025-03-23 1285.896670 2015.237118 2966.901109 4260.920664 5934.123193 7984.272523 10642.905687
2025-03-30 1232.731609 1970.370153 2945.198320 4284.475310 6031.301879 8187.145447 11000.270510
2025-04-06 1175.522727 1917.093448 2909.868040 4288.059747 6101.329611 8355.282249 11314.588355
2025-04-13 1077.926393 1802.033704 2786.900225 4171.489772 6012.359217 8320.371523 11372.979390
2025-04-20 1072.544374 1819.466414 2844.856422 4297.069346 6239.599564 8687.165424 11938.014877
2025-04-27 1051.805836 1813.277994 2869.363238 4377.106482 6407.243641 8978.929579 12410.176550
2025-05-04 1004.935504 1766.307250 2835.198193 4375.828604 6466.429788 9131.420097 12706.098365
2025-05-11 951.410819 1706.973647 2781.466970 4345.734999 6485.692027 9231.473374 12934.811133
2025-05-18 924.502427 1686.943050 2782.693916 4390.903636 6605.413713 9461.799553 13331.289977